Fundraising reports covering the fourth quarter of 2022 were recently due at the FEC, offering us some clues about which Senate incumbents are raising the kinds of money that signal that they plan to run for re-election and which ones aren’t. We've gathered all that data in a new chart, along with figures for five members of the House who've already announced Senate bids. (Note that for this quintet, the reporting period ran from Nov. 29 to Dec. 31; because the lower chamber was up for election last year, House candidates filed multiple reports during the quarter.)
However, a weak haul hardly guarantees retirement: Wisconsin Republican Ron Johnson hauled in just $130,000 in the final months of 2020, but while he kept everyone guessing about his re-election plans for another year, he ultimately decided to run again and went on to claim a third term.
