
•AZ-02: We'll start with one of the most unpredictable contests left. Republican Martha McSally leads Democratic Rep. Ron Barber by 1,293 votes. If this sounds very familiar there's a good reason: In 2012 McSally led Barber by almost the exact same number of votes, but ended up losing after the remaining ballots were tabulated.
At the moment it's not clear how many ballots are left to be counted: Some sources say 37,000, some say 50,000. Most of the votes are from Barber-friendly Pima County, and the more uncounted ballots there are, the better his chances become.
If we assume the number is 37,000, Barber would need to win the remaining votes by about 4 points. In 2012 Barber carried the late votes and pulled off a narrow victory after being down on Election Night, so this is doable. We'll be keeping a close eye on this one as things become clearer.
Head below the fold for a look at where other uncalled contests stand.